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League Two | Gameweek 5
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Salford City

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Salford City

Coughlin (33'), Helm (62')
Potter (30'), Bonds (59'), Virtue (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Woodburn (18'), Okoronkko (90+8')
Negru (5'), Robinson (6'), Kouassi (26'), Taylor (28'), N'Mai (55'), Woodburn (68'), Tilt (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Salford City

With two points separating the two sides, we think that Tuesday's contest could produce a close-fought affair, and while Salford have won their last two matches, we believe that they will have to settle for a point against a Fleetwood side that have drawn three of their previous four home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawSalford City
42.02% (-0.463 -0.46) 26.05% (0.132 0.13) 31.93% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.458 -0.46)51.17% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.404 -0.4)73.01% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.434 -0.43)24.13% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.62 -0.62)58.43% (0.614 0.61)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 42.01%
    Salford City 31.93%
    Draw 26.04%
Fleetwood TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Salford City

Fleetwood Town
59.1%
Draw
22.7%
Salford City
18.2%
22
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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