Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.