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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Salford City |
42.02% ( -0.46) | 26.05% ( 0.13) | 31.93% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% ( -0.46) | 51.17% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% ( -0.4) | 73.01% ( 0.4) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( -0.43) | 24.13% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( -0.62) | 58.43% ( 0.61) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( -0.01) | 29.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( -0.02) | 66.08% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |