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Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Salford City

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Salford City

Coughlin (33'), Helm (62')
Potter (30'), Bonds (59'), Virtue (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Woodburn (18'), Okoronkko (90+8')
Negru (5'), Robinson (6'), Kouassi (26'), Taylor (28'), N'Mai (55'), Woodburn (68'), Tilt (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Salford City

With two points separating the two sides, we think that Tuesday's contest could produce a close-fought affair, and while Salford have won their last two matches, we believe that they will have to settle for a point against a Fleetwood side that have drawn three of their previous four home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawSalford City
42.02% (-0.463 -0.46) 26.05% (0.132 0.13) 31.93% (0.326 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.458 -0.46)51.17% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.404 -0.4)73.01% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.434 -0.43)24.13% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.62 -0.62)58.43% (0.614 0.61)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 42.01%
    Salford City 31.93%
    Draw 26.04%
Fleetwood TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Salford City

Fleetwood Town
59.1%
Draw
22.7%
Salford City
18.2%
22
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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