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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.87% ( -0) | 25.91% ( -0) | 38.22% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% ( 0.01) | 49.8% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( 0) | 71.8% ( -0) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% | 26.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% | 62.13% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( 0) | 25.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( 0.01) | 60.34% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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