MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 21:33:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Lambert (38')
Sanogo Fofana (23'), Lambert (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (5'), Jones (87')
Mooney (66'), Gosset (90+4'), Jones (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-1 Flint Town
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
46.8% (2.149 2.15) 21.75% (0.144 0.14) 31.45% (-2.295 -2.3)
Both teams to score 68.28% (-1.671 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.73% (-1.746 -1.75)31.27% (1.743 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.29% (-2.09 -2.09)52.71% (2.088 2.09)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (0.060000000000002 0.06)14.06% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.34% (0.117 0.12)41.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-2.001 -2)20.53% (2 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-3.268 -3.27)53.04% (3.266 3.27)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 46.8%
    Caernarfon Town 31.45%
    Draw 21.75%
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.343 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.237 0.24)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.541 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.542 0.54)
3-2 @ 4.55% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.18 0.18)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.27 0.27)
3-3 @ 2.4% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Flint Town vs Caernarfon

Flint Town United
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Caernarfon Town
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Flint Town
2-3
Caernarfon
Beaumont (18'), Diau (35')
Donohue (31' pen.), Edwards (49'), Faux (86')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Flint Town
2-1
Caernarfon
Stephens (10'), Cole (90')
Faux (53')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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