Caernarfon

1 - 2

Cardiff MU

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cardiff MU in this match.