MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:36:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 2
Briton Ferry

Clarke (12', 16')
Williams (6'), Thomas (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brock (38'), Mooney (89')
Anderson (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBriton Ferry
40.39% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.62% (0.196 0.2) 35.99% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-0.761 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (-0.985 -0.98)39.11% (0.984 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-1.041 -1.04)61.44% (1.04 1.04)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.452 -0.45)19.7% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.74 -0.74)51.71% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (-0.506 -0.51)21.82% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (-0.777 -0.78)55.04% (0.777 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 40.39%
    Briton Ferry 35.99%
    Draw 23.62%
Caernarfon TownDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.223 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.196 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.99%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!