MX23RW : Monday, January 6 22:51:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fluminense

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Fluminense

Martin Lucero (56')
Pochettino (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Elias Nogueira (74'), Cano (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense

 While the draw last week would have been a welcome point for Fluminense following a torrid run of results, they were far from convincing in the match and did not do enough to suggest a complete turnaround in form is to be expected right away. Fortaleza have been excellent at home so far this season and are on a five-match winning streak in all competitions. We feel they will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawFluminense
55.03% (-1.946 -1.95) 24.2% (0.154 0.15) 20.77% (1.793 1.79)
Both teams to score 49.23% (2.254 2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (1.582 1.58)51.62% (-1.581 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (1.36 1.36)73.41% (-1.358 -1.36)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.137 -0.14)18.65% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.232 -0.23)49.97% (0.233 0.23)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (2.868 2.87)39.48% (-2.867 -2.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (2.566 2.57)76.17% (-2.565 -2.57)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 55.02%
    Fluminense 20.77%
    Draw 24.2%
FortalezaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.476 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.367 0.37)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.459 0.46)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.286 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.256 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.21 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.77%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Fluminense

Fortaleza
76.7%
Draw
10.0%
Fluminense
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Fluminense
1-0
Fortaleza
Barbosa (90+2')
Barbosa (26'), Xavier (30'), Kennedy (45'), Diniz (45+3'), Andre (90+4')

Britez (28'), Welison (42'), Escobar (90+1')
Apr 29, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Fortaleza
4-2
Fluminense
Galhardo (29'), Moises (35', 60'), Hercules (79')
Carvalho (45+2'), Kennedy (69')
Sep 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 26
Fluminense
2-1
Fortaleza
Cano (11', 57')
Galhardo (51')
Aug 18, 2022 12am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Fluminense
2-2
Fortaleza
Ganso (64' pen.), Cano (72')
Ganso (11'), Manoel (77'), Melo (90+9')
Nino (12' og.), Romero (45+1')
Romero (34'), Hercules (39')
Jul 29, 2022 12.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fortaleza
0-1
Fluminense
Capixaba (10'), Sasha (25'), Crispim (47')
Nonato (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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