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Serie A
Frosinone logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Milan logo

Frosinone
2 - 3
AC Milan

Soule (24' pen.), Mazzitelli (65')
Harroui (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giroud (17'), Gabbia (72'), Jovic (81')
Loftus-Cheek (43'), Reijnders (48'), Florenzi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Frosinone
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-2 AC Milan

 The side with most first-half goals this season (Milan, 24) take on the team that has conceded more during the opening 45 minutes than any other (Frosinone, 20). The Rossoneri may make a fast start, then, before holding out for victory over opponents that have lost some momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawAC Milan
26.26% (-1.327 -1.33) 23.69% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 50.05% (1.403 1.4)
Both teams to score 57.26% (-0.906 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.674 -0.67)44.1% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (-0.66 -0.66)66.49% (0.664 0.66)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-1.343 -1.34)30.41% (1.345 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-1.631 -1.63)66.62% (1.635 1.63)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.283 0.28)17.71% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (0.483 0.48)48.37% (-0.482 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 26.26%
    AC Milan 50.05%
    Draw 23.69%
FrosinoneDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.26%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.353 0.35)
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.377 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.54% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.258 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.128 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.05%

How you voted: Frosinone vs AC Milan

Frosinone
10.6%
Draw
6.7%
AC Milan
82.7%
104
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
3-1
Frosinone
Jovic (43'), Pulisic (50'), Tomori (74')
Jovic (80'), Pioli (90+4')
Brescianini (82')
Barrenechea (63')
> Preview
May 19, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Frosinone
Piatek (57'), Suso (66')
(0')
Dec 26, 2018 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Frosinone
0-0
AC Milan
Ghiglione (41'), Crisetig (54')
Donnarumma (40')
May 1, 2016 2pm
AC Milan
3-3
Frosinone
Bacca (50'), Antonelli (74'), Menez (92' pen.)
Balotelli (26'), Kucka (45')
Paganini (2'), Kragl (44'), Dionisi (54')
Sammarco (10'), Gori (19'), Bardi (39'), Kragl (45'), Russo (48'), Dionisi (55'), Pryima (91')
Dec 20, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
2-4
AC Milan
Ciofani (19'), Dionisi (84')
Tonev (45'), Soddimo (55'), Dionisi (61'), Pavlovic (68'), Ciofani (91')
Abate (51'), Bacca (55'), Alex (77'), Bonaventura (93')
Niang (49'), Romagnoli (60'), Donnarumma (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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