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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Milan logo

Empoli
0 - 3
AC Milan


Marin (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Loftus-Cheek (11'), Giroud (31' pen.), Traore (88')
Calabria (41'), Jimenez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Cagliari
Tuesday, January 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan

 Everything points to a Milan win at the Castellani, where they have never been beaten in Serie A. With Empoli consistently coming up short in the final third, the Rossoneri should stride to victory and keep within striking distance of both Inter and Juve. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
23.83% (0.099 0.1) 24.33% (0.369 0.37) 51.84% (-0.476 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (-1.456 -1.46)48.98% (1.448 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (-1.334 -1.33)71.07% (1.326 1.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)35.06% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.753 -0.75)71.8% (0.745 0.75)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)18.88% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-1.243 -1.24)50.35% (1.235 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 23.83%
    AC Milan 51.84%
    Draw 24.33%
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.385 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 5.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: Empoli vs AC Milan

Empoli
4.9%
Draw
8.6%
AC Milan
86.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
0-0
Empoli
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-3
AC Milan
Bajrami (90+1')
Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-0
Empoli
Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Piatek (49'), Kessie (51'), Castillejo (67')
Calhanoglu (71')

Di Lorenzo (55')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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