Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio3 - 1Frosinone
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Lazio 2-1 Frosinone
Lazio's inconsistency means while they may be favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. The visitors Frosinone are in the midst of a rut though, so this will be a tough task, especially because they have been poor on the road this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Frosinone |
58.19% ( -0.12) | 23.27% ( 0.02) | 18.54% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( 0.03) | 50.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.03) | 72.7% ( -0.03) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -0.03) | 17.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.05) | 47.46% ( 0.05) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.13) | 41.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.03% ( 0.11) | 77.96% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 58.18%
Frosinone 18.54%
Draw 23.26%
| Lazio | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.18% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.54% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Frosinone
Lazio
81.1%Draw
12.6%Frosinone
6.3%95
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
Lazio
2-0
Frosinone
Dionisi (53')
