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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Frosinone logo

Atalanta
5 - 0
Frosinone

Koopmeiners (8' pen.), Ederson (13'), De Ketelaere (14'), Zappacosta (83'), Holm (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Romagnoli (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Atalanta BC 5-1 Frosinone

 Atalanta are flying high at present, with six wins from eight, and despite the absence of Lookman, others have stepped up to fill the goalscoring void, so a big win could be on the cards. Frosinone have the worst away record in the division, having taken just two points from nine games on the road, and only Salernitana have a worse defensive record, so this could get very ugly for the out-of-form visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFrosinone
71.66% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 17.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 11.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.122 0.12)38.13% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.13 0.13)60.4% (-0.133 -0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (0.048000000000002 0.05)9.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.41% (0.12 0.12)31.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.012 0.01)79.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.65%
    Frosinone 11.31%
    Draw 17.02%
Atalanta BCDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 71.65%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 11.31%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Frosinone

Atalanta BC
89.6%
Draw
5.2%
Frosinone
5.2%
77
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Frosinone
2-1
Atalanta
Harroui (5'), Monterisi (24')
Barrenechea (28')
Zapata (56')
Lookman (40'), de Roon (45+4')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Frosinone
0-5
Atalanta

Ghiglione (88'), Matarese (90')
Mancini (11'), Zapata (44', 47', 64', 73')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atalanta
4-0
Frosinone
Papu (14', 90'), Hateboer (48'), Pasalic (61')

Perica (31'), Goldaniga (88')
Jan 23, 2016 5pm
Frosinone
0-0
Atalanta
Gori (30'), Ajeti (43')
Kurtic (41')
Aug 30, 2015 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-0
Frosinone
Stendardo (21'), Gomez (69')
Pinilla (36')

Blanchard (8'), Diakite (36'), Paganini (57'), Dionisi (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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