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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Frosinone logo

Atalanta
5 - 0
Frosinone

Koopmeiners (8' pen.), Ederson (13'), De Ketelaere (14'), Zappacosta (83'), Holm (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Romagnoli (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Atalanta BC 5-1 Frosinone

 Atalanta are flying high at present, with six wins from eight, and despite the absence of Lookman, others have stepped up to fill the goalscoring void, so a big win could be on the cards. Frosinone have the worst away record in the division, having taken just two points from nine games on the road, and only Salernitana have a worse defensive record, so this could get very ugly for the out-of-form visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFrosinone
71.66% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 17.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 11.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.122 0.12)38.13% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.13 0.13)60.4% (-0.133 -0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (0.048000000000002 0.05)9.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.41% (0.12 0.12)31.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.012 0.01)79.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.65%
    Frosinone 11.31%
    Draw 17.02%
Atalanta BCDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 71.65%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 11.31%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Frosinone

Atalanta BC
89.6%
Draw
5.2%
Frosinone
5.2%
77
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Frosinone
2-1
Atalanta
Harroui (5'), Monterisi (24')
Barrenechea (28')
Zapata (56')
Lookman (40'), de Roon (45+4')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Frosinone
0-5
Atalanta

Ghiglione (88'), Matarese (90')
Mancini (11'), Zapata (44', 47', 64', 73')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atalanta
4-0
Frosinone
Papu (14', 90'), Hateboer (48'), Pasalic (61')

Perica (31'), Goldaniga (88')
Jan 23, 2016 5pm
Frosinone
0-0
Atalanta
Gori (30'), Ajeti (43')
Kurtic (41')
Aug 30, 2015 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-0
Frosinone
Stendardo (21'), Gomez (69')
Pinilla (36')

Blanchard (8'), Diakite (36'), Paganini (57'), Dionisi (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313
> Serie A Full Table


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