Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Almeria |
46.5% ( -0.1) | 26.53% ( 0.07) | 26.97% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.72% ( -0.25) | 55.28% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.5% ( -0.2) | 76.5% ( 0.2) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.16) | 23.75% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( -0.23) | 57.89% ( 0.22) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.21% ( -0.11) | 35.79% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.44% ( -0.11) | 72.56% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |