La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona5 - 2Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Girona 2-0 Almeria
La Liga has a habit of throwing up surprise results when they are least expected, but we just cannot see that happening in this match. Girona have proved themselves to be a strong outfit this term, and the Catalan outfit should have too much for a struggling Almeria in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Almeria |
50.34% ( 0.02) | 23.38% ( -0.01) | 26.28% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.34% ( 0.01) | 42.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( 0.01) | 65.06% ( -0.01) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( 0.01) | 17.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.77% ( 0.02) | 47.23% ( -0.02) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.01) | 29.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.32% ( -0.01) | 65.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 50.34%
Almeria 26.28%
Draw 23.37%
| Girona | Draw | Almeria |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.28% |
How you voted: Girona vs Almeria
Girona
90.8%Draw
3.1%Almeria
6.2%65
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Almeria
3-2
Girona
