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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Las Palmas

Almeria
1 - 2
Las Palmas

Ramazani (73')
Baba (18'), Robertone (31'), Montes (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Haddadi (23'), Kaba (90+4')
Cardona (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Las Palmas

All competitions
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Las Palmas

 Las Palmas do not concede many, but they have real problems finding the back of the net, and if Almeria can score first, we fancy them to avoid defeat here. It is difficult to back the hosts to win due to their struggles in that department this season, but we can see the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawLas Palmas
38.18% (1.75 1.75) 26.66% (0.191 0.19) 35.15% (-1.944 -1.94)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.717 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (-0.871 -0.87)53.05% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.746 -0.75)74.64% (0.741 0.74)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (0.59700000000001 0.6)27.03% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (0.779 0.78)62.39% (-0.785 -0.79)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-1.581 -1.58)28.82% (1.577 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-2.009 -2.01)64.68% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 38.18%
    Las Palmas 35.15%
    Draw 26.65%
AlmeriaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.506 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.44 0.44)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: Almeria vs Las Palmas

Almeria
35.3%
Draw
41.2%
Las Palmas
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Las Palmas
1-1
Almeria
Viera (37')
Viera (52'), Cardona (54'), Pinchi (59'), Penaranda (90+2')
Appiah (51')
Robertone (18'), de la Hoz (55'), Babic (61')
Oct 9, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Almeria
1-1
Las Palmas
Portillo (32')
Chumi (21'), Sousa (84')
Viera (90')
Cardona (36'), Ferigra (56'), Curbelo (67'), Loiodice (73')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Almeria
3-1
Las Palmas
Villar (45+2' pen., 48'), Akieme (54')
Fernandes (20'), Samu (26'), Villar (28'), Robertone (43')
Mujica (53')
Castellano (72')
Oct 17, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Las Palmas
2-0
Almeria
Araujo (7', 76')
Lemos (14'), Pejino (28')

Carvalho (55'), Aketxe (62'), Balliu (65')
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Las Palmas

Aguza (45+6'), Corpas (61'), Jonathan (73'), Martinez Gonzalvez (74'), de la Hoz (90+3')
Castro (23')
de la Bella (35'), Miguel Castaneda Macho (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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