Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.