Morton

2 - 0

Airdrieonians

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.