Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen's Park in this match.