We said: Guinea 1-1 Senegal
Expect a cagey affair, with both teams hesitant to take undue risks. While Senegal's superior attacking weapons and experience, even with a potential change in their forward line, should give them the advantage, Guinea's resolute determination to secure qualification could make this a tighter encounter than many predict.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.8%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 30.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.