Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gyori ETO win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gyori ETO win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gyori ETO would win this match.