Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.