Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
Sporting Lisbon1 - 0Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-4 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, January 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Boavista
Saturday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
40
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Porto
Meetings between Sporting Lisbon and Porto have served up fireworks in the past and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade as both teams look to secure their spot in the final. While Bruno's side have put together a run of four wins in their last five outings, home advantage gives Sporting a slight edge here, and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Porto had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
48.65% ( 0.87) | 23.5% ( -0.3) | 27.84% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
