World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Haiti2 - 1St Lucia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Haiti and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haiti 2-3 Jamaica
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.
Result | ||
Haiti | Draw | Saint Lucia |
39.99% ( -0.44) | 24.04% ( -0.05) | 35.96% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.79% ( 0.32) | 41.2% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.4% ( 0.33) | 63.6% ( -0.33) |
Haiti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.07) | 20.78% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -0.11) | 53.42% ( 0.1) |
Saint Lucia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% ( 0.41) | 22.79% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.51% ( 0.61) | 56.49% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Haiti 39.99%
Saint Lucia 35.96%
Draw 24.04%
Haiti | Draw | Saint Lucia |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.96% |
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 11pm
First Round
St Lucia
P-P
Haiti
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-01 01:28:18
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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