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World Cup
Haiti national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Saint Lucia national football team

Haiti
2 - 1
St Lucia

Duverne (47'), Nazon (77')
Sainte (14'), Attys (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elva (18')
Pearson (74'), Doxilly (90+3')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Haiti and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
Last Game: Haiti 2-3 Jamaica
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia

All competitions
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.

Result
HaitiDrawSaint Lucia
39.99% (-0.444 -0.44) 24.04% (-0.052 -0.05) 35.96% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 61.16% (0.272 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.323 0.32)41.2% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.328 0.33)63.6% (-0.33 -0.33)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)20.78% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.107 -0.11)53.42% (0.105 0.1)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.411 0.41)22.79% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.605 0.61)56.49% (-0.607 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Haiti 39.99%
    Saint Lucia 35.96%
    Draw 24.04%
HaitiDrawSaint Lucia
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 7% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 11pm
First Round
St Lucia
P-P
Haiti
rhs 2.0
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