World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Vale Farm Stadium
Haiti2 - 1St Lucia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Haiti and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haiti 2-3 Jamaica
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Saint Lucia |
39.99% ( -0.44) | 24.04% ( -0.05) | 35.96% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
