MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:53:01| >> :600:42858034:42858034:
Honduras national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 2am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Haiti national football team

Honduras
2 - 1
Haiti

Bengtson (42'), Pinto (59')
Benguche (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pierrot (20')
Alceus (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Honduras and Haiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Honduras
Friday, June 30 at 12.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico266
2Haiti2-13
3Qatar2-11
4Honduras2-41

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 1-3 Mexico
Friday, June 30 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico266
2Haiti2-13
3Qatar2-11
4Honduras2-41

We said: Honduras 1-2 Haiti

 The Haitians have started brightly in both of their encounters at this tournament and while the Hondurans were able to rescue themselves on matchday two, they give up too many quality scoring chances, something we believe Les Grenadiers will be able to take advantage of on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawHaiti
43.82% (-0.17 -0.17) 25.37% (0.052 0.05) 30.81% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.169 -0.17)48.7% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.154 -0.15)70.81% (0.152 0.15)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)22.18% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (-0.226 -0.23)55.59% (0.226 0.23)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.48% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)65.49% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 43.82%
    Haiti 30.81%
    Draw 25.36%
HondurasDrawHaiti
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Honduras vs Haiti

Honduras
17.2%
Draw
13.8%
Haiti
69.0%
29
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2015 12am
Group Stage
Haiti
1-0
Honduras
Nazon (14')

Crisanto (44')
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