Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.