Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 29.95% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
47.12% ( 2.57) | 22.94% ( -0.01) | 29.95% ( -2.56) |
Both teams to score 62.87% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.01% ( -1.24) | 37.99% ( 1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.75% ( -1.33) | 60.25% ( 1.33) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( 0.5) | 16.49% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.78% ( 0.89) | 46.22% ( -0.89) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -2.12) | 24.71% ( 2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% ( -3.05) | 59.25% ( 3.05) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.12% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Macarthur | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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