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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
1 - 2
Hibernian

Bushiri (45+2' og.)
Devlin (28'), Halkett (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowles (9' og.), Gayle (78')
Bushiri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-1 St Johnstone
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian

Although Hearts have claimed four wins in the previous 10 derbies, only one of those victories has come in the previous 12 months. Another Edinburgh derby stalemate is anticipated on Thursday, with both sides finding the back of the net at Tynecastle Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
51.07% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15) 24.04% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.88% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.8% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)69.06% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)18.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.131 -0.13)49.44% (0.133 0.13)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (0.070999999999998 0.07)32.95% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (0.079000000000001 0.08)69.54% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 51.07%
    Hibernian 24.88%
    Draw 24.03%
HeartsDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.07%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 24.88%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
55.8%
Draw
9.3%
Hibernian
34.9%
43
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 9
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Kukharevych (65')
Triantis (4'), Boyle (39')
Wilson (87')
Devlin (64'), Penrice (75'), Grant (83')
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Hearts
1-1
Hibernian
Shankland (45+2' pen.)
Devlin (60'), Vargas (67')
Marcondes (28')
Bushiri (19')
Dec 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Hibernian
0-1
Hearts

Levitt (62'), Boyle (73')
Shankland (90+3')
Rowles (14'), Nieuwenhof (59'), Atkinson (88')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
2-2
Hibernian
Forrest (28'), Doidge (58' og.)
Shankland (5'), Devlin (8')
Youan (66', 68')
Fish (15')
May 27, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Hearts
1-1
Hibernian
Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Campbell (90'), Devlin (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic2219216185359
2RangersRangers21125438172141
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd239763124734
4Aberdeen2110473230234
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7St Mirren2383112738-1127
8Dundee2275103438-426
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2265112531-623
12St Johnstone2243152444-2015


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