Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
51.07% ( -0.15) | 24.04% ( 0.04) | 24.88% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.2% ( -0.05) | 46.8% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.04) | 69.06% ( 0.05) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% ( -0.08) | 18.34% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.55% ( -0.13) | 49.44% ( 0.13) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( 0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( 0.08) | 69.54% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |