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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 27, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian

Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Devlin (90+4'), Campbell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Hibernian

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 Celtic
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian

 We can see Hearts and Hibernian serving up an entertaining encounter at Tynecastle as both sides aim to finish the season on a high, with the Edinburgh rivals expected to share the spoils in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
42.89% (-2.552 -2.55) 23.44% (0.222 0.22) 33.66% (2.325 2.33)
Both teams to score 62.85% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.169 -0.17)38.78% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)61.09% (0.174 0.17)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-1.104 -1.1)18.47% (1.099 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-1.894 -1.89)49.67% (1.89 1.89)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (1.256 1.26)22.91% (-1.26 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (1.821 1.82)56.67% (-1.825 -1.83)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 42.89%
    Hibernian 33.66%
    Draw 23.44%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.397 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.354 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.35 0.35)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.361 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
43.8%
Draw
25.0%
Hibernian
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 32
Hibernian
1-0
Hearts
Nisbet (67')
Egan Riley (10'), Johnson (11'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Cadden (61'), Newell (78'), Campbell (90+1'), Hanlon (90+1')

Naismith (0'), Devlin (20'), Atkinson (77'), Kingsley (89'), Sibbick (90+2')
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts

Jeggo (18'), Bushiri (50')
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
McKay (19'), Cochrane (27'), Shankland (50'), Ginnelly (90+7')
Shankland (90+1')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 20
Hearts
3-0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')

Cadden (11')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
gameweek 2
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers24155447192850
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2410773227537
4Aberdeen2410593236-435
5Motherwell2494112939-1031
6Hibernian247983537-230
7St Mirren2493123038-830
8Dundee2376103741-427
9Hearts2476112833-527
10Ross County2468102443-1926
11Kilmarnock2467112740-1325
12St Johnstone2453162748-2118
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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