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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
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Dundee United
Hearts logo
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Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
1 - 2
Hibernian

Bushiri (45+2' og.)
Devlin (28'), Halkett (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowles (9' og.), Gayle (78')
Bushiri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-1 St Johnstone
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian

Although Hearts have claimed four wins in the previous 10 derbies, only one of those victories has come in the previous 12 months. Another Edinburgh derby stalemate is anticipated on Thursday, with both sides finding the back of the net at Tynecastle Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
51.07% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15) 24.04% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.88% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.8% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)69.06% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)18.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (-0.131 -0.13)49.44% (0.133 0.13)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (0.070999999999998 0.07)32.95% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (0.079000000000001 0.08)69.54% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 51.07%
    Hibernian 24.88%
    Draw 24.03%
HeartsDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.07%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 24.88%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
55.8%
Draw
9.3%
Hibernian
34.9%
43
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 9
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Kukharevych (65')
Triantis (4'), Boyle (39')
Wilson (87')
Devlin (64'), Penrice (75'), Grant (83')
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Hearts
1-1
Hibernian
Shankland (45+2' pen.)
Devlin (60'), Vargas (67')
Marcondes (28')
Bushiri (19')
Dec 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Hibernian
0-1
Hearts

Levitt (62'), Boyle (73')
Shankland (90+3')
Rowles (14'), Nieuwenhof (59'), Atkinson (88')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
2-2
Hibernian
Forrest (28'), Doidge (58' og.)
Shankland (5'), Devlin (8')
Youan (66', 68')
Fish (15')
May 27, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Hearts
1-1
Hibernian
Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Campbell (90'), Devlin (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1916215274550
2RangersRangers19123434132139
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd209743021934
4Aberdeen2010463228434
5St Mirren2183102734-727
6Motherwell208392534-927
7Hibernian216782832-425
8Kilmarnock216692536-1124
9Dundee2064103036-622
10Ross County215792138-1722
11Hearts2155112431-720
12St Johnstone2143142341-1815


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