Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
43.43% ( -0.66) | 24.7% ( -0.08) | 31.87% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.69% ( 0.65) | 45.31% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( 0.62) | 67.65% ( -0.61) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% ( -0.03) | 20.93% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.33% ( -0.05) | 53.67% ( 0.05) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( 0.8) | 27.1% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( 1.03) | 62.49% ( -1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |