MX23RW : Monday, January 20 16:50:36| >> :600:1366649:1366649:
HJK logo
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Decic

Erwin (49')
Lingman (79'), Lingman (81'), Kanellopoulos (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kajevic (31'), Chagas (65'), Stijepovic (66'), Tomasevic (67'), Tanaka (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between HJK Helsinki and Decic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lahti 2-1 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Decic 0-0 Dinamo Batumi
Tuesday, July 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1SJK402.11Moreno
2Ilves372.06Haarala
3HJK Helsinki341.79Plange
4Inter Turku331.83Smith
5KuPS321.78Luyeye-Lutumba
6Haka291.61Patoulidis
7VPS291.61Borchers
8Gnistan261.44Latonen
9Oulu241.33Coffey
10Lahti211.17Lopez
11EIF181.00Ojala
12Mariehamn170.94Larsson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Decic had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Decic win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawDecic
64.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 20.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.32% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.121 -0.12)47.68% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-0.111 -0.11)69.87% (0.107 0.11)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)13.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.61% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)41.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Decic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.186 -0.19)45.02% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.149 -0.15)80.95% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 64.89%
    Decic 14.34%
    Draw 20.76%
HJK HelsinkiDrawDecic
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.01% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.76%
0-1 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Decic

HJK Helsinki
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Decic
0.0%
14
rhs 2.0
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