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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Iceland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Turkey national football team

Iceland
2 - 4
Turkey

Oskarsson (3'), Gudjohnsen (83')
Egill Ellertsson (32'), Valdimarsson (54'), Tomasson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kahveci (62'), Calhanoglu (67' pen.), Guler (88'), Akturkoglu (90+5')
Demiral (35'), Yildiz (57'), Bardakci (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Wales
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Iceland 1-1 Turkey

 After an excellent second-half showing on Friday night, Iceland can take the fight to Turkey and come out of a close-fought contest with at least one point. The visitors' squad is packed with attacking talent, but they do not tend to fare well away from home and may have to settle for a draw at Laugardalsvollur. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
IcelandDrawTurkey
43.57% (0.047999999999995 0.05) 25.74% (-0.026 -0.03) 30.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.63% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.115 0.12)50.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.1 0.1)72.24% (-0.095999999999989 -0.1)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.072999999999993 0.07)22.99% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.104 0.1)56.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.049000000000007 0.05)30.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (0.055 0.05)66.56% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Iceland 43.57%
    Turkey 30.7%
    Draw 25.73%
IcelandDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Iceland vs Turkey

Iceland
18.1%
Draw
25.7%
Turkey
56.1%
171
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Turkey
3-1
Iceland
Akturkoglu (2', 52', 88')
Kahveci (86')
Palsson (37')
Leo Gretarsson (44'), Teitur Thordarson (73')
> Preview
Nov 14, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-0
Iceland
Tufan (8'), Yokuslu (82'), Under (91'), Celik (94')
Ingvi Traustason (36'), Sigthorsson (84')
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
2-1
Turkey
Sigurdsson (21', 32')
Hallfredsson (18'), Bjarnason (72')
Tokoz (40')
Tokoz (23'), Yilmaz (52'), Ayhan (55'), Celik (56')
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-3
Iceland
Gudmundsson (32'), Bjarnason (39'), Arnason (50')
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
2-0
Turkey
Toprak (42' og.), Finnbogason (44')
rhs 2.0
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