Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
38.85% ( -1.17) | 26.73% ( 0.44) | 34.42% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( -1.68) | 53.4% ( 1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( -1.44) | 74.94% ( 1.44) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( -1.41) | 26.82% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% ( -1.9) | 62.12% ( 1.9) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -0.36) | 29.46% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( -0.44) | 65.46% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |