Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
69.2% ( 2.07) | 18.57% ( -0.96) | 12.22% ( -1.1) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% ( 1.64) | 42.93% ( -1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% ( 1.61) | 65.33% ( -1.61) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% ( 1.04) | 11.28% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.09% ( 2.22) | 35.9% ( -2.22) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.67% ( -0.72) | 45.33% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.81% ( -0.58) | 81.19% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.19% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.57% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |