MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 11:42:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 0
Stal Mielec

Pululu (24'), Imaz (66')
Pululu (31'), Nguiamba (44'), Marczuk (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerbowski (66')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-1 Panevezys
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice
Saturday, July 27 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawStal Mielec
60.39% (-0.311 -0.31) 21.71% (0.209 0.21) 17.9% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.46 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.72 -0.72)45.26% (0.725 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.693 -0.69)67.6% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)14.54% (0.336 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.647 -0.65)42.58% (0.653 0.65)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.298 -0.3)38.93% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.283 -0.28)75.65% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 60.39%
    Stal Mielec 17.9%
    Draw 21.7%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.39%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.9%

Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
Stal Mielec
3-2
Jagiellonia
Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
Nene (12'), Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Jagiellonia
4-0
Stal Mielec
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')

Santos (58'), Esselink (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410
> Polish Ekstraklasa Full Table


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