We said: Kalmar 1-0 Vasteras SK
After collecting one point and scoring just once in their first five away matches, Vasteras will not be expecting too much from their trip to Guldfageln Arena on Sunday afternoon.
Kalmar were put to the sword by Malmo last weekend, but the visit of the Allsvenskan's whipping boys represents the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.