Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
39.27% ( 0.81) | 25.4% ( -0.18) | 35.33% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( 0.77) | 47.6% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( 0.71) | 69.8% ( -0.7) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( 0.77) | 23.94% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% ( 1.09) | 58.17% ( -1.08) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 0.01) | 26.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( 0.01) | 61.17% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |