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Ligue 1
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Oceane
Montpellier

Le Havre
1 - 0
Montpellier

Toure (73' pen.)
Lloris (31'), Salmier (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier HSC

 After a narrow defeat at the home of Rennes last time out, Le Havre should be confident of picking up a positive result on home turf against Ligue 1's bottom club. Montpellier have been terrible since returning from the last international break, and we expect that downwards trend to continue for the visitors to Stade Oceane this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
39.27% (0.807 0.81) 25.4% (-0.183 -0.18) 35.33% (-0.614 -0.61)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.573 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.767 0.77)47.6% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.705 0.71)69.8% (-0.69800000000001 -0.7)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.774 0.77)23.94% (-0.765 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (1.087 1.09)58.17% (-1.081 -1.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 39.27%
    Montpellier HSC 35.33%
    Draw 25.4%
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Montpellier

Le Havre
68.8%
Draw
15.6%
Montpellier HSC
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Le Havre
0-2
Montpellier

Nego (31'), Casimir (70')
Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-2
Le Havre
Adams (58', 60')
Jullien (48')
Lloris (5'), Grandsir (90')
Sangante (55'), Targhalline (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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