MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 09:39:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Oceane
Montpellier

Le Havre
1 - 0
Montpellier

Toure (73' pen.)
Lloris (31'), Salmier (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier HSC

After a narrow defeat at the home of Rennes last time out, Le Havre should be confident of picking up a positive result on home turf against Ligue 1's bottom club. Montpellier have been terrible since returning from the last international break, and we expect that downwards trend to continue for the visitors to Stade Oceane this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
39.27% (0.807 0.81) 25.4% (-0.183 -0.18) 35.33% (-0.614 -0.61)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.573 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.767 0.77)47.6% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.705 0.71)69.8% (-0.69800000000001 -0.7)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.774 0.77)23.94% (-0.765 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (1.087 1.09)58.17% (-1.081 -1.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 39.27%
    Montpellier HSC 35.33%
    Draw 25.4%
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Montpellier

Le Havre
68.8%
Draw
15.6%
Montpellier HSC
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Le Havre
0-2
Montpellier

Nego (31'), Casimir (70')
Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-2
Le Havre
Adams (58', 60')
Jullien (48')
Lloris (5'), Grandsir (90')
Sangante (55'), Targhalline (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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