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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Ligue 1
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lyon

Le Havre
0 - 4
Lyon


Nego (6'), Toure (18'), Casimir (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vinicius (32'), Fofana (57'), Lacazette (71'), Benrahma (87')
Cherki (35'), Caqueret (36'), Tolisso (47'), Nuamah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 0-2 Lyon

 There has never been a draw between the sides in the top flight here in Normandy, and that run is likely to extend to 17 games with Lyon the slight favourites to come out on top. Four wins in a row compared to four defeats in a row does not make for good reading for the hosts, as a confident Lyon side are not the ideal opponents to face when stuck in a rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawLyon
23.95% (-0.357 -0.36) 23.45% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 52.6% (0.302 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.59200000000001 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (-0.594 -0.59)45.09% (0.597 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.573 -0.57)67.43% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (-0.627 -0.63)32.81% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (-0.704 -0.7)69.38% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)17.13% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.65% (-0.19 -0.19)47.34% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 23.95%
    Lyon 52.6%
    Draw 23.45%
Le HavreDrawLyon
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.053 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 23.95%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.217 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.15% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.27% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.6%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lyon

Le Havre
16.4%
Draw
10.9%
Lyon
72.7%
55
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 18
Le Havre
3-1
Lyon
Lloris (18'), Sabbi (50'), Operi (62')
Operi (87')
Lacazette (54')
O'Brien (30'), Caleta-Car (90')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lyon
0-0
Le Havre
Lacazette (5'), Mata (41'), Kumbedi (79')
Bayo (38'), Casimir (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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