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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse

Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse


Nordin (45+2')
Savanier (51')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aboukhlal (5', 8'), King (27')
Casseres Jr (59'), McKenzie (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Angers
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Toulouse

 While Montpellier did the double over the opponent last season, they have been exceptionally poor this term, and come into this match following three consecutive defeats during which they conceded 11 times. Indeed, Toulouse have not been great either this season, but they have been solid defensively, allowing only 11 goals to date, and we feel they will be able to take at least a point from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
34.03% (-0.193 -0.19) 25.22% (0.393 0.39) 40.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-1.429 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (-1.835 -1.84)47% (1.826 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-1.735 -1.74)69.25% (1.726 1.73)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)26.59% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-1.328 -1.33)61.81% (1.32 1.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)22.93% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-1.339 -1.34)56.69% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 34.03%
    Toulouse 40.75%
    Draw 25.21%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.445 0.44)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
28.0%
Draw
50.0%
Toulouse
22.0%
50
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Dallinga (34')
Nicolaisen (54'), Diarra (60')
Nicolaisen (83')
Savanier (27'), Fayad (81')
Savanier (26'), Leroy (44'), Karamoh (90+5'), Fayad (90+6')
Savanier (65')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
> Preview
May 23, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 38
Toulouse
P-P
Montpellier
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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