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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Oxford United

Leeds
4 - 0
Oxford Utd

James (9'), Bogle (57'), Aaronson (67'), Solomon (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harris (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Oxford United

Winning nine of their 11 Championship home matches this season, Leeds should be very confident of putting a relegation-threatened Oxford to the sword this weekend. The U's are without a permanent manager following the dismissal of Buckingham, and it is likely that a sense of directionless will only lead to one result at Elland Road for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 6.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawOxford United
78.42% (0.17 0.17) 14.63% (-0.107 -0.11) 6.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.241 0.24)41.6% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (0.242 0.24)64.01% (-0.241 -0.24)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.096999999999994 0.1)8.66% (-0.097099999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.16% (0.235 0.23)29.84% (-0.236 -0.24)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.7% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.71% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)88.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 78.41%
    Oxford United 6.95%
    Draw 14.63%
Leeds UnitedDrawOxford United
2-0 @ 14.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.2% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.52% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.63%
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 6.95%

How you voted: Leeds vs Oxford Utd

Leeds United
88.0%
Draw
10.0%
Oxford United
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
P-P
Leeds
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
4-3
Leeds
Henry (7', 43'), Hall (26'), Obika (61')
Roberts (54'), Baker (63'), Clarke (71')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Leeds
2-0
Oxford Utd
Roofe (35'), Dallas (84')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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