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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 3
Sheff Weds

Leigh (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Windass (28'), Lowe (50'), Gassama (61')
Gassama (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have impressed on the road recently and should have enough to get back to winning ways against an Oxford United side who are lacking confidence and slipping towards the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSheffield Wednesday
33.77% (0.061 0.06) 26.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 39.56% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.306 0.31)53.24% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.259 0.26)74.8% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.19200000000001 0.19)29.79% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.232 0.23)65.86% (-0.229 -0.23)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (0.148 0.15)26.35% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.201 0.2)61.5% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.77%
    Sheffield Wednesday 39.55%
    Draw 26.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Sheff Weds

Oxford United
36.8%
Draw
15.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
47.4%
38
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Oxford Utd
1-1
Sheff Weds
Brannagan (70' pen.)
Bannan (35')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
3-2
Sheff Weds
Taylor (45+1', 62'), Winnall (84')
Taylor (45+4')
Bannan (7'), Windass (60')
Hunt (14'), Bannan (80')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sheff Weds
1-2
Oxford Utd
Paterson (73')
Paterson (61'), Palmer (85')
Brannagan (12'), Henry (90+3')
Seddon (61'), Rodriguez (80')
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Sheff Weds
1-0
Oxford Utd
Nuhiu (55')
Lees (47'), Lee (77'), Sougou (89')

Dunkley (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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