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AJ Auxerre
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo

Lens
1 - 0
Brest

Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 Lens
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-2 Brest

 While Brest undoubtedly have better form coming into this match, Lens are no pushover and are well capable of giving any side a run for their money on their day. The Blood and Gold have not lost back-to-back home league games in over two years, and we feel that they will be able to secure a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
43.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 31.2% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (0.032 0.03)71.27% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.043999999999997 0.04)29.47% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.052999999999997 0.05)65.48% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lens 43.27%
    Brest 31.2%
    Draw 25.52%
LensDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens
29.3%
Draw
36.6%
Brest
34.1%
41
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Le Douaron (54')
Gradit (83')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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