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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo

Lens
1 - 0
Brest

Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 Lens
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-2 Brest

 While Brest undoubtedly have better form coming into this match, Lens are no pushover and are well capable of giving any side a run for their money on their day. The Blood and Gold have not lost back-to-back home league games in over two years, and we feel that they will be able to secure a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
43.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 31.2% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (0.032 0.03)71.27% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.043999999999997 0.04)29.47% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.052999999999997 0.05)65.48% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lens 43.27%
    Brest 31.2%
    Draw 25.52%
LensDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens
29.3%
Draw
36.6%
Brest
34.1%
41
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Le Douaron (54')
Gradit (83')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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