Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
19.07% ( -0.1) | 23.36% ( 0.05) | 57.57% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.34) | 50.44% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.3) | 72.37% ( 0.3) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.36% ( -0.31) | 40.64% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% ( -0.29) | 77.23% ( 0.28) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.1) | 17.28% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.39% ( -0.18) | 47.61% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.07% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 40 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 34 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Angers | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
13 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Rennes | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 20 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 14 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |