MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 20:58:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens logo

Brest
3 - 2
Lens

Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-2 Rennes
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Brest 0-1 Lens

Given what Lens achieved last term, we expect the Blood and Gold to claim all three points on the opening weekend, although Brest will likely give last season's runners-up a run for their money after finishing the previous campaign on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
29.19% (0.963 0.96) 26.06% (0.47 0.47) 44.74% (-1.433 -1.43)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.85700000000001 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-1.401 -1.4)52.31% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-1.217 -1.22)74% (1.218 1.22)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-1.261 -1.26)23.29% (1.261 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-1.873 -1.87)57.23% (1.873 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.19%
    Lens 44.74%
    Draw 26.06%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.74%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
8.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lens
82.6%
23
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brest
4-0
Lens
Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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