Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
36.02% ( -1.27) | 25.87% ( 0.22) | 38.11% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( -1) | 49.64% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( -0.9) | 71.66% ( 0.9) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( -1.19) | 26.67% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( -1.6) | 61.91% ( 1.6) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( 0.12) | 25.49% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% ( 0.16) | 60.33% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |