Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.