Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.