Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
36.63% ( -0.14) | 27.25% ( -0.12) | 36.12% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 50.13% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.64% ( 0.49) | 55.36% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.43% ( 0.4) | 76.57% ( -0.41) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( 0.16) | 29.04% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( 0.19) | 64.95% ( -0.19) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.64% ( 0.4) | 29.36% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.66% ( 0.49) | 65.34% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |